Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-08 · 19:45
12.4438.7%
X3.1530.0%
23.0131.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stoke
DLWDDWLDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Luton
LLLLDLLLWW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.90
Against
6.10
8.50
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
2.00
Total goals
2.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.10goals per match
Luton conceded1.80
Matchup

Luton attack

0.80goals per match
Stoke conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.10
8.50
Match total
9.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.50
Match total
2.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
23.10
Match total
22.60

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
3.70
On target
2.20
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches665
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.7%39.4%+0.7 pp
Draw30.0%31.1%+1.2 pp
Away31.4%29.5%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.517.1%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

1.171.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
1-012.8%
0-012.2%
2-110.2%
0-110.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.924.30
Average total9.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=665.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.7%
Over 9.543.3%
Over 10.533.4%
Over 11.524.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches261
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.5%24.3%–35.3% CI
Draw FT44.4%38.5%–50.5% CI
Away FT26.1%21.1%–31.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.0%
2+ goals34.9%
3+ goals14.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.7%
Away45.6%