Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-08 · 19:45
12.5537.1%
X3.2529.1%
22.8033.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Preston
DWWDWDDDWD
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Cardiff
LWDDLLDLWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.90
1.30
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.70
Against
5.30
8.60
Total
8.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
2.00
1.90
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Preston attack
1.20goals per matchCardiff conceded2.00Matchup
Cardiff attack
1.20goals per matchPreston conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.30
8.60
Match total
8.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.80
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.60N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
24.80
Match total
23.80
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
3.80
On target
3.20
10%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches910
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.1%33.7%-3.4 pp
Draw29.1%32.5%+3.4 pp
Away33.8%33.7%-0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS53.4%
Historical average
1.20–1.21
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.8%
1-09.8%
0-19.7%
2-18.1%
1-27.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.17–4.71
Average total9.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=909.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.528.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches279
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.6%22.7%–33.1% CI
Draw FT43.0%37.3%–48.9% CI
Away FT29.4%24.4%–35.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.3%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals10.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.1%
Away50.5%