Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-08 · 19:45
14.6220.5%
X3.2029.5%
21.8950.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
WLLLLDLWWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Burnley
WWDWWDDWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
0.30
20%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
0.50
70%
Goal in 2H
40%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.90
Against
3.90
8.70
Total
8.20
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
0.30
1.60
Total goals
1.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Derby attack

0.80goals per match
Burnley conceded0.30
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.60goals per match
Derby conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
40%4/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.90
8.70
Match total
8.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.70
Match total
3.60
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
20.80
Match total
25.20

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
2.30
On target
4.50
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.5%17.6%-2.8 pp
Draw29.5%41.2%+11.6 pp
Away50.0%41.2%-8.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.511.8%
BTTS41.2%

Historical average

0.651.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.6%
0-017.6%
0-111.8%
1-211.8%
1-011.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.294.82
Average total9.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.529.4%
Over 11.517.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away40.0%