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Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 15:00

Swansea

vs

Derby

12.0546.0%
X3.1929.6%
23.8624.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swansea
LWWDLLLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Derby
LDLLLLDLLW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.90
0.90
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.20
Against
5.40
8.40
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.30goals per match
Derby conceded1.90
Matchup

Derby attack

0.80goals per match
Swansea conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.40
8.40
Match total
10.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.50
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
24.30
Match total
20.00

Shots

9.30N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.00
On target
3.10
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches389
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.0%47.3%+1.3 pp
Draw29.6%30.1%+0.5 pp
Away24.4%22.6%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS47.6%

Historical average

1.40–0.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.4%
1-111.6%
0-011.6%
2-19.5%
0-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.35–3.78
Average total9.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=389.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.0%
Over 9.542.7%
Over 10.531.1%
Over 11.521.3%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches141
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.4%32.7%–48.7% CI
Draw FT39.0%31.3%–47.2% CI
Away FT20.6%14.7%–28.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.1%
2+ goals31.2%
3+ goals17.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.4%
Away36.9%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamSwanseaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamDerbyForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareSwansea vs DerbyCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionChampionshipLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsChampionship team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.