Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 15:00
12.2342.3%
X3.2029.4%
23.3328.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

QPR
WWWWWLWWLD
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Cardiff
DLWDDLLDLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
2.20
80%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.40
1H goals
2.10
1.70
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.60
Against
5.00
9.00
Total
7.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
2.20
3.10
Total goals
3.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

QPR attack

2.10goals per match
Cardiff conceded2.20
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.40goals per match
QPR conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.00
9.00
Match total
7.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.80
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
25.70
Match total
23.50

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.50
On target
3.40
17%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,160
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.3%41.6%-0.6 pp
Draw29.4%34.7%+5.2 pp
Away28.3%23.7%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS49.1%

Historical average

1.300.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.4%
1-012.3%
0-010.9%
2-09.1%
2-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.114.29
Average total9.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,159.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.5%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.534.3%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches416
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.9%29.5%–38.6% CI
Draw FT45.4%40.7%–50.2% CI
Away FT20.7%17.1%–24.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals10.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away40.4%