Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 15:00
12.3939.5%
X3.1130.3%
23.1230.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Preston
DDWWDWDDDW
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Stoke
LLDDLWLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.20
Against
6.90
8.70
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.90
1.90
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Preston attack

1.20goals per match
Stoke conceded1.90
Matchup

Stoke attack

0.90goals per match
Preston conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.90
8.70
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.40
Match total
3.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
24.60
Match total
20.10

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.20
On target
2.90
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,010
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.5%38.8%-0.6 pp
Draw30.3%32.4%+2.1 pp
Away30.2%28.8%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%
BTTS48.0%

Historical average

1.191.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
0-012.1%
1-011.9%
2-19.2%
0-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.964.31
Average total9.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,010.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.3%
Over 9.544.7%
Over 10.533.4%
Over 11.524.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches385
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT29.4%25.0%–34.1% CI
Draw FT46.0%41.1%–51.0% CI
Away FT24.7%20.6%–29.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.3%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.4%
Away43.9%