Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 15:00
12.3340.4%
X3.0331.1%
23.3128.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Millwall
LLWLLDWDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Portsmouth
LLLLLLLWLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
0.60
1.00
Conceded
2.30
20%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.50
0.80
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.80
Against
6.20
9.40
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded
2.30
1.70
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Millwall attack
0.70goals per matchPortsmouth conceded2.30Matchup
Portsmouth attack
0.60goals per matchMillwall conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.20
9.40
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
2.30
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
23.30
Match total
23.00
Shots
11.30N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
3.00
On target
2.20
6%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches433
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.4%40.2%-0.3 pp
Draw31.1%31.2%+0.1 pp
Away28.5%28.6%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.515.2%
BTTS46.4%
Historical average
1.17–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.9%
1-112.9%
0-012.0%
0-110.4%
2-19.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.95–4.03
Average total8.98
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=433.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.3%
Over 9.541.1%
Over 10.530.0%
Over 11.520.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches166
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.3%27.5%–41.8% CI
Draw FT45.2%37.8%–52.8% CI
Away FT20.5%15.0%–27.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.23
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.7%
2+ goals34.9%
3+ goals14.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.0%
Away41.0%