Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 15:00
12.3340.4%
X3.0331.1%
23.3128.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
LLWLLDWDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Portsmouth
LLLLLLLWLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.60
1.00
Conceded
2.30
20%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.50
0.80
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.80
Against
6.20
9.40
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded
2.30
1.70
Total goals
2.90
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

0.70goals per match
Portsmouth conceded2.30
Matchup

Portsmouth attack

0.60goals per match
Millwall conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.30
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.20
9.40
Match total
11.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
2.30
Match total
3.50
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
23.30
Match total
23.00

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
3.00
On target
2.20
6%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches433
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.4%40.2%-0.3 pp
Draw31.1%31.2%+0.1 pp
Away28.5%28.6%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.515.2%
BTTS46.4%

Historical average

1.170.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.9%
1-112.9%
0-012.0%
0-110.4%
2-19.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.954.03
Average total8.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=433.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.3%
Over 9.541.1%
Over 10.530.0%
Over 11.520.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches166
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.3%27.5%–41.8% CI
Draw FT45.2%37.8%–52.8% CI
Away FT20.5%15.0%–27.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.7%
2+ goals34.9%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.0%
Away41.0%