Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 15:00
11.8152.0%
X3.5726.4%
24.3521.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bristol City
DWWWWLWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Watford
DLLDWLDWDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.40
Against
5.40
10.20
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Bristol City attack

1.50goals per match
Watford conceded1.20
Matchup

Watford attack

1.00goals per match
Bristol City conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.40
10.20
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.20
Match total
4.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
19.50
Match total
24.20

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
5.30
On target
3.30
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches378
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.0%60.6%+8.6 pp
Draw26.4%21.7%-4.7 pp
Away21.6%17.7%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS43.7%

Historical average

1.710.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.1%
2-111.6%
2-010.8%
1-110.1%
0-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.784.12
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=378.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches123
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.3%37.8%–55.1% CI
Draw FT39.8%31.6%–48.7% CI
Away FT13.8%8.8%–21.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals11.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.8%
Away35.0%