Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 12:30
15.5317.0%
X4.0323.4%
21.5859.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
DWWLDLLDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Leeds
DWWDDWWWLD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.80
0.70
Conceded
0.80
20%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.40
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
7.00N=10
4.20
Against
3.20
10.90
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.80
0.70
Goals conceded
0.80
1.40
Total goals
2.60
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Luton attack

0.70goals per match
Leeds conceded0.80
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.80goals per match
Luton conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
7.00N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.20
10.90
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
100%10/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.70
Match total
2.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
8.80N=10
26.00
Match total
20.70

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
16.10N=10
3.80
On target
5.50
5%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.0%8.7%-8.3 pp
Draw23.4%23.9%+0.5 pp
Away59.6%67.4%+7.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS45.7%

Historical average

0.701.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-217.4%
1-215.2%
1-110.9%
0-38.7%
0-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

2.985.63
Average total8.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.547.8%
Over 9.534.8%
Over 10.521.7%
Over 11.515.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.7%
Away64.3%