Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-02 · 19:45
12.2941.2%
X2.9931.5%
23.4627.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Derby
WWLLLLDLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Preston
WLLDWLWLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.90
0.80
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.90
Against
6.20
8.80
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
1.80
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Derby attack
1.00goals per matchPreston conceded1.20Matchup
Preston attack
1.00goals per matchDerby conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.20
8.80
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.50
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
20.10
Match total
24.70
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
2.80
On target
3.00
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches264
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.2%43.6%+2.4 pp
Draw31.5%33.7%+2.2 pp
Away27.3%22.7%-4.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.517.4%
BTTS45.8%
Historical average
1.26–0.88
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-013.6%
1-013.6%
1-113.3%
2-19.8%
0-19.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.93–4.05
Average total8.98
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=264.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.8%
Over 9.539.0%
Over 10.528.0%
Over 11.521.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches102
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.4%22.3%–39.9% CI
Draw FT49.0%39.5%–58.6% CI
Away FT20.6%13.9%–29.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.7%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals14.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.1%
Away41.2%