Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-02 · 19:45
12.2941.2%
X2.9931.5%
23.4627.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
WWLLLLDLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Preston
WLLDWLWLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
0.80
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.90
Against
6.20
8.80
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
1.80
Total goals
2.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.00goals per match
Preston conceded1.20
Matchup

Preston attack

1.00goals per match
Derby conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.20
8.80
Match total
8.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.50
Match total
3.60
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
20.10
Match total
24.70

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
2.80
On target
3.00
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches264
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.2%43.6%+2.4 pp
Draw31.5%33.7%+2.2 pp
Away27.3%22.7%-4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.517.4%
BTTS45.8%

Historical average

1.260.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-013.6%
1-013.6%
1-113.3%
2-19.8%
0-19.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.934.05
Average total8.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=264.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.8%
Over 9.539.0%
Over 10.528.0%
Over 11.521.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches102
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.4%22.3%–39.9% CI
Draw FT49.0%39.5%–58.6% CI
Away FT20.6%13.9%–29.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.7%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals14.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.1%
Away41.2%