Championship · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 15:00
11.6358.0%
X3.6925.6%
25.7516.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sunderland
DWWWDDWLWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Millwall
LDDWWLDWWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.30
Against
5.50
9.20
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sunderland attack

1.50goals per match
Millwall conceded1.30
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.00goals per match
Sunderland conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.50
9.20
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.60
Match total
2.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
23.30
Match total
24.00

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.60
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches161
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.0%55.3%-2.7 pp
Draw25.6%30.4%+4.8 pp
Away16.4%14.3%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.521.1%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.600.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.5%
1-014.9%
1-113.7%
0-010.6%
2-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.753.52
Average total9.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=161.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.4%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.526.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.6%27.6%–53.1% CI
Draw FT49.1%36.1%–62.1% CI
Away FT11.3%5.3%–22.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.4%
Away34.0%