Championship · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 15:00
12.9132.5%
X3.2629.0%
22.4538.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cardiff
LLDDWWDWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Sheffield Weds
WDLLWLWLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.70
1.20
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.40
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
2.30
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
6.10N=10
5.30
Against
6.00
10.20
Total
12.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cardiff attack
1.10goals per matchSheffield Weds conceded1.80Matchup
Sheffield Weds attack
1.70goals per matchCardiff conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.00
10.20
Match total
12.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.70
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
21.50
Match total
24.40
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
4.30
On target
4.40
10%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches508
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.5%30.3%-2.1 pp
Draw29.0%27.4%-1.6 pp
Away38.6%42.3%+3.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS52.4%
Historical average
1.14–1.35
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.6%
0-111.8%
1-29.3%
0-08.9%
1-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.96–4.93
Average total9.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=508.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.530.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches170
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.2%24.7%–38.5% CI
Draw FT37.1%30.2%–44.5% CI
Away FT31.8%25.2%–39.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.5%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals14.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.9%
Away51.2%