Championship · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 12:30
11.5959.3%
X3.8724.4%
25.7716.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Watford
WWLLLLLWLW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Plymouth
LLLLDDLDLW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.50
1.50
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.60
1H goals
0.70
1.00
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.30
Against
6.30
9.70
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
2.60
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Watford attack
1.10goals per matchPlymouth conceded2.00Matchup
Plymouth attack
0.50goals per matchWatford conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.30
9.70
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.50
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
21.00
Match total
23.90
Shots
10.10N=10
Shots
6.00N=10
3.70
On target
2.00
11%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches260
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.3%60.8%+1.5 pp
Draw24.4%23.1%-1.3 pp
Away16.3%16.2%-0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS43.8%
Historical average
1.83–0.73
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.7%
2-012.7%
1-111.9%
3-08.8%
2-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.93–3.57
Average total9.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=259.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.534.4%
Over 11.526.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches86
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%39.7%–60.3% CI
Draw FT29.1%20.5%–39.4% CI
Away FT20.9%13.7%–30.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.6%
2+ goals45.3%
3+ goals16.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.1%
Away41.9%