Championship · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 12:30
11.5959.3%
X3.8724.4%
25.7716.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
WWLLLLLWLW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Plymouth
LLLLDDLDLW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.50
1.50
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.70
1.00
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.30
Against
6.30
9.70
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
2.60
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.10goals per match
Plymouth conceded2.00
Matchup

Plymouth attack

0.50goals per match
Watford conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.30
9.70
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.50
Match total
2.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
21.00
Match total
23.90

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
6.00N=10
3.70
On target
2.00
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches260
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.3%60.8%+1.5 pp
Draw24.4%23.1%-1.3 pp
Away16.3%16.2%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS43.8%

Historical average

1.830.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.7%
2-012.7%
1-111.9%
3-08.8%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.933.57
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=259.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.534.4%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches86
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%39.7%–60.3% CI
Draw FT29.1%20.5%–39.4% CI
Away FT20.9%13.7%–30.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.6%
2+ goals45.3%
3+ goals16.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.1%
Away41.9%