Championship · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 15:00
13.7625.1%
X3.1929.6%
22.0945.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swansea
DLWWDLLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Burnley
WWWWDWWDDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
0.20
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
0.60
70%
Goal in 2H
40%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.90
Against
4.80
8.60
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
0.20
2.70
Total goals
1.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.50goals per match
Burnley conceded0.20
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.50goals per match
Swansea conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
40%4/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.80
8.60
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.00
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
23.80
Match total
23.50

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.50
On target
4.30
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.1%31.3%+6.2 pp
Draw29.6%19.3%-10.4 pp
Away45.2%49.4%+4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.513.3%
BTTS36.1%

Historical average

0.831.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-122.9%
1-015.7%
1-113.3%
0-28.4%
2-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

3.705.08
Average total8.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.6%
Over 9.537.3%
Over 10.527.7%
Over 11.518.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.7%9.8%–38.4% CI
Draw FT24.1%12.2%–42.1% CI
Away FT55.2%37.5%–71.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.7%
2+ goals41.4%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.4%
Away69.0%