Championship · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 15:00
13.7625.1%
X3.1929.6%
22.0945.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Swansea
DLWWDLLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Burnley
WWWWDWWDDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
0.20
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
0.60
70%
Goal in 2H
40%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.90
Against
4.80
8.60
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
0.20
2.70
Total goals
1.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Swansea attack
1.50goals per matchBurnley conceded0.20Matchup
Burnley attack
1.50goals per matchSwansea conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.80
8.60
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.00
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.00N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
23.80
Match total
23.50
Shots
11.00N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.50
On target
4.30
14%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.1%31.3%+6.2 pp
Draw29.6%19.3%-10.4 pp
Away45.2%49.4%+4.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.513.3%
BTTS36.1%
Historical average
0.83–1.22
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-122.9%
1-015.7%
1-113.3%
0-28.4%
2-17.2%
Comparable corner averages
3.70–5.08
Average total8.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.6%
Over 9.537.3%
Over 10.527.7%
Over 11.518.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.7%9.8%–38.4% CI
Draw FT24.1%12.2%–42.1% CI
Away FT55.2%37.5%–71.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.48
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal89.7%
2+ goals41.4%
3+ goals13.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.4%
Away69.0%