Championship · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 15:00
12.9032.6%
X3.0431.1%
22.6036.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Plymouth
LDDDLLWWDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Derby
DLDLLLLDLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.60
2.00
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
2.10
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.80
Against
5.40
7.90
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.60
2.00
Goals conceded
1.80
3.50
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Plymouth attack

1.50goals per match
Derby conceded1.80
Matchup

Derby attack

0.60goals per match
Plymouth conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.10
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.40
7.90
Match total
10.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.20
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
22.80
Match total
20.30

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
3.20
On target
2.70
15%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches378
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.6%32.8%+0.2 pp
Draw31.1%32.0%+0.9 pp
Away36.3%35.2%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.515.6%
BTTS45.0%

Historical average

1.021.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-014.0%
1-113.8%
0-111.1%
1-010.3%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.444.48
Average total8.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=378.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.3%
Over 9.539.7%
Over 10.529.1%
Over 11.521.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches156
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.4%24.6%–39.1% CI
Draw FT45.5%37.9%–53.3% CI
Away FT23.1%17.2%–30.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.0%
2+ goals32.1%
3+ goals11.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.7%
Away39.1%