Championship · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 15:00
12.6136.3%
X3.4127.8%
22.6336.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
WDWWLDLLDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Middlesbrough
DLDWLLLLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.30
0.70
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.30
Against
6.10
11.10
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.30
0.70
Goals conceded
1.80
1.50
Total goals
3.10
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Luton attack

0.80goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded1.80
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

1.30goals per match
Luton conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.10
11.10
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.50
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
25.00
Match total
21.20

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.50
On target
4.50
6%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches779
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.3%35.2%-1.1 pp
Draw27.8%27.3%-0.4 pp
Away36.0%37.5%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

1.331.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
1-29.8%
1-09.8%
0-19.4%
2-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.074.88
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=779.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches229
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.5%28.6%–40.9% CI
Draw FT34.1%28.2%–40.4% CI
Away FT31.4%25.8%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.2%
2+ goals42.8%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.2%
Away55.0%