Championship · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 12:30
16.4214.7%
X4.1622.7%
21.5162.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

QPR
DWWWWWLWWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Leeds
LDWWDDWWWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.60
0.90
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
7.10N=10
4.20
Against
3.40
9.50
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded
0.70
2.90
Total goals
2.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

QPR attack

2.00goals per match
Leeds conceded0.70
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.60goals per match
QPR conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
7.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.40
9.50
Match total
10.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
100%10/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.80
Match total
2.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
8.80N=10
24.70
Match total
19.90

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
16.40N=10
4.60
On target
5.70
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.7%13.6%-1.2 pp
Draw22.7%16.9%-5.8 pp
Away62.6%69.5%+6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS45.8%

Historical average

0.712.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-313.6%
0-113.6%
1-213.6%
0-211.9%
1-110.2%

Comparable corner averages

3.475.22
Average total8.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.544.1%
Over 9.533.9%
Over 10.525.4%
Over 11.522.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Away FT70.6%46.9%–86.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal94.1%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals35.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.3%
Away82.4%