Championship · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 12:30
12.1643.8%
X3.1230.3%
23.6625.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
DLLWLLDWDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Stoke
LLLDDLWLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
2.00
20%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
0.80
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.50
Against
7.10
9.40
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
2.00
1.80
Total goals
3.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

0.70goals per match
Stoke conceded2.00
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.00goals per match
Millwall conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
4.50
Corners against
7.10
9.40
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
1.90
Match total
3.20
0%0/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
24.20
Match total
19.40

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.10
On target
3.10
6%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches397
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%49.1%+5.3 pp
Draw30.3%27.5%-2.9 pp
Away25.9%23.4%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.515.9%
BTTS44.1%

Historical average

1.310.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.4%
1-112.6%
2-010.8%
2-110.6%
0-010.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.033.78
Average total8.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=397.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.549.1%
Over 9.539.8%
Over 10.528.0%
Over 11.519.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches164
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.9%33.6%–48.5% CI
Draw FT38.4%31.3%–46.0% CI
Away FT20.7%15.2%–27.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals35.4%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.1%
Away41.5%