Championship · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 12:30
12.1643.8%
X3.1230.3%
23.6625.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Millwall
DLLWLLDWDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Stoke
LLLDDLWLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
2.00
20%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.50
0.80
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.50
Against
7.10
9.40
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
2.00
1.80
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Millwall attack
0.70goals per matchStoke conceded2.00Matchup
Stoke attack
1.00goals per matchMillwall conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
4.50
Corners against
7.10
9.40
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
1.90
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
24.20
Match total
19.40
Shots
11.30N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.10
On target
3.10
6%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches397
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%49.1%+5.3 pp
Draw30.3%27.5%-2.9 pp
Away25.9%23.4%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.515.9%
BTTS44.1%
Historical average
1.31–0.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.4%
1-112.6%
2-010.8%
2-110.6%
0-010.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.03–3.78
Average total8.82
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=397.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.549.1%
Over 9.539.8%
Over 10.528.0%
Over 11.519.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches164
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.9%33.6%–48.5% CI
Draw FT38.4%31.3%–46.0% CI
Away FT20.7%15.2%–27.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals35.4%
3+ goals12.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.1%
Away41.5%