Championship · 2024/25
2025-03-12 · 19:45
12.3240.7%
X3.2429.1%
23.1230.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
DWWLLLLLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Swansea
WDWLLLLWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.20
Against
5.40
10.20
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
2.50
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.00goals per match
Swansea conceded2.00
Matchup

Swansea attack

0.90goals per match
Watford conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.40
10.20
Match total
10.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.50
Match total
2.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
22.20
Match total
23.30

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.10
On target
3.20
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,315
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.7%41.7%+1.0 pp
Draw29.1%31.3%+2.1 pp
Away30.2%27.1%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.331.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-011.7%
2-19.1%
0-08.8%
0-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.234.42
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,314.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches446
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT32.7%28.5%–37.2% CI
Draw FT41.3%36.8%–45.9% CI
Away FT26.0%22.2%–30.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals38.8%
3+ goals12.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.2%
Away46.2%