Championship · 2024/25
2025-03-12 · 19:45
12.3240.7%
X3.2429.1%
23.1230.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Watford
DWWLLLLLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Swansea
WDWLLLLWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.20
Against
5.40
10.20
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
2.50
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Watford attack
1.00goals per matchSwansea conceded2.00Matchup
Swansea attack
0.90goals per matchWatford conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.40
10.20
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.50
Match total
2.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
22.20
Match total
23.30
Shots
10.90N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.10
On target
3.20
9%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,315
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.7%41.7%+1.0 pp
Draw29.1%31.3%+2.1 pp
Away30.2%27.1%-3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS49.8%
Historical average
1.33–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.6%
1-011.7%
2-19.1%
0-08.8%
0-18.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.23–4.42
Average total9.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,314.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.527.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches446
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT32.7%28.5%–37.2% CI
Draw FT41.3%36.8%–45.9% CI
Away FT26.0%22.2%–30.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals38.8%
3+ goals12.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.2%
Away46.2%