Championship · 2024/25
2025-03-12 · 19:45
11.6956.0%
X3.7425.3%
25.0418.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Portsmouth
DWWWWLDWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Plymouth
LLLLLDDLDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.40
0.60
Conceded
2.50
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.40
Against
6.40
10.40
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.40
0.60
Goals conceded
2.50
2.40
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Portsmouth attack
1.80goals per matchPlymouth conceded2.50Matchup
Plymouth attack
0.40goals per matchPortsmouth conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.10
2H goals conceded
1.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.40
10.40
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
22.70
Match total
22.70
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
6.70N=10
4.60
On target
2.10
13%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches655
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.0%59.5%+3.6 pp
Draw25.3%22.1%-3.1 pp
Away18.8%18.3%-0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS50.5%
Historical average
1.74–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.6%
2-112.7%
2-011.9%
1-19.6%
2-25.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.06–3.91
Average total9.97
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=655.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches192
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT52.1%45.0%–59.0% CI
Draw FT32.3%26.1%–39.2% CI
Away FT15.6%11.2%–21.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.2%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals13.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.1%
Away34.9%