Championship · 2024/25
2025-03-11 · 19:45
13.3528.3%
X3.2329.4%
22.2442.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
LWWLLLLDLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Coventry
LWLLDLWWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
0.90
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.60
Against
7.20
8.80
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.70
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Derby attack

0.90goals per match
Coventry conceded1.40
Matchup

Coventry attack

1.30goals per match
Derby conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
7.20
8.80
Match total
12.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.00N=10
2.80
Match total
2.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
21.40
Match total
21.50

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.00
On target
3.90
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches262
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.3%27.1%-1.2 pp
Draw29.4%32.8%+3.5 pp
Away42.3%40.1%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.517.9%
BTTS42.7%

Historical average

0.961.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
0-114.5%
0-013.0%
1-011.1%
0-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.355.18
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=262.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches85
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%12.9%–29.7% CI
Draw FT50.6%40.2%–61.0% CI
Away FT29.4%20.8%–39.8% CI

Remaining goals

0.98

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals28.2%
3+ goals8.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home32.9%
Away41.2%