Championship · 2024/25
2025-03-11 · 19:45
12.3640.2%
X3.1729.9%
23.1829.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cardiff
LLLDDWWDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Luton
LLLLLLDLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
2.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.80
1.70
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.40
Against
5.70
11.30
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
2.30
2.20
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.00goals per match
Luton conceded2.30
Matchup

Luton attack

0.70goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.20
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.70
11.30
Match total
9.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.60
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
21.30
Match total
23.30

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.60
On target
2.30
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,156
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.2%40.5%+0.3 pp
Draw29.9%31.9%+2.0 pp
Away29.8%27.6%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.7%
BTTS48.4%

Historical average

1.251.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
0-011.5%
1-011.3%
2-09.3%
2-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.094.33
Average total9.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,155.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.7%
Over 9.546.8%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.524.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches432
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT30.8%26.6%–35.3% CI
Draw FT44.7%40.1%–49.4% CI
Away FT24.5%20.7%–28.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals14.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.5%
Away43.8%