Championship · 2024/25
2025-03-09 · 12:00
17.5012.6%
X4.7320.0%
21.4067.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Portsmouth
WDWWWWLDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Leeds
WLDWWDDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
2.00
0.60
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
6.70N=10
3.50
Against
2.80
10.40
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.00
0.60
Goals conceded
0.90
2.60
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Portsmouth attack
2.00goals per matchLeeds conceded0.90Matchup
Leeds attack
2.00goals per matchPortsmouth conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
1.30
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
3.50
Corners against
2.80
10.40
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.10
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
23.50
Match total
20.30
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
16.40N=10
5.10
On target
5.70
14%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches135
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.6%8.1%-4.4 pp
Draw20.0%24.4%+4.5 pp
Away67.4%67.4%-0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.531.1%
BTTS47.4%
Historical average
0.67–2.10
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-114.8%
1-114.1%
0-211.1%
1-28.9%
0-37.4%
Comparable corner averages
3.16–6.29
Average total9.44
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=135.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.524.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.0%6.6%–27.3% CI
Draw FT30.2%18.6%–45.1% CI
Away FT55.8%41.1%–69.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.77
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.4%
2+ goals53.5%
3+ goals27.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home32.6%
Away74.4%