Championship · 2024/25
2025-03-09 · 12:00
17.5012.6%
X4.7320.0%
21.4067.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portsmouth
WDWWWWLDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Leeds
WLDWWDDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
2.00
0.60
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
6.70N=10
3.50
Against
2.80
10.40
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.00
0.60
Goals conceded
0.90
2.60
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Portsmouth attack

2.00goals per match
Leeds conceded0.90
Matchup

Leeds attack

2.00goals per match
Portsmouth conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.30
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
3.50
Corners against
2.80
10.40
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.10
Match total
2.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
23.50
Match total
20.30

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
16.40N=10
5.10
On target
5.70
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches135
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.6%8.1%-4.4 pp
Draw20.0%24.4%+4.5 pp
Away67.4%67.4%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.531.1%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

0.672.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.8%
1-114.1%
0-211.1%
1-28.9%
0-37.4%

Comparable corner averages

3.166.29
Average total9.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=135.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.524.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.0%6.6%–27.3% CI
Draw FT30.2%18.6%–45.1% CI
Away FT55.8%41.1%–69.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.4%
2+ goals53.5%
3+ goals27.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home32.6%
Away74.4%