Championship · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 12:30
12.0446.4%
X3.5027.1%
23.5726.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swansea
WLLLLWWLWW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Millwall
WLLLWDLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.70
0.80
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.40
Against
7.30
10.90
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
1.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.10goals per match
Millwall conceded1.20
Matchup

Millwall attack

0.70goals per match
Swansea conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
7.30
10.90
Match total
11.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.40
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
21.80
Match total
22.70

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.10
On target
2.40
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches330
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.4%46.4%-0.1 pp
Draw27.1%29.4%+2.3 pp
Away26.5%24.2%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.528.8%
BTTS55.5%

Historical average

1.521.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
1-011.2%
2-18.8%
0-08.5%
2-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.674.39
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=330.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches112
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.6%28.3%–45.8% CI
Draw FT42.0%33.2%–51.2% CI
Away FT21.4%14.8%–29.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals41.1%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.0%
Away48.2%