Championship · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 12:30
12.7334.7%
X3.2529.1%
22.6236.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sunderland
WLWWLLDLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Sheffield Weds
WLLLWWLLWW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
10%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.60
Against
6.70
10.40
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.90
2.20
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sunderland attack
1.00goals per matchSheffield Weds conceded1.90Matchup
Sheffield Weds attack
0.90goals per matchSunderland conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.70
10.40
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.90
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
24.00
Match total
23.80
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.50
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches866
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.7%29.3%-5.4 pp
Draw29.1%29.1%-0.0 pp
Away36.2%41.6%+5.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS50.5%
Historical average
1.10–1.34
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.0%
0-112.4%
1-09.1%
0-08.9%
1-28.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.04–4.91
Average total9.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=866.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.529.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches288
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.7%22.0%–32.1% CI
Draw FT38.5%33.1%–44.3% CI
Away FT34.7%29.5%–40.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals14.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.1%
Away52.4%