Championship · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 12:30
12.0546.2%
X3.5226.9%
23.5127.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stoke
DLLWLWLDDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Bristol City
DLDWLLLWDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.00
Against
4.90
11.50
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.00goals per match
Bristol City conceded1.30
Matchup

Bristol City attack

0.90goals per match
Stoke conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.90
11.50
Match total
10.00
100%10/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.60
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
21.00
Match total
20.80

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.20
On target
4.20
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches421
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.2%43.7%-2.5 pp
Draw26.9%28.7%+1.9 pp
Away27.0%27.6%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS53.4%

Historical average

1.521.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
2-19.0%
1-08.8%
0-18.1%
2-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.524.57
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=421.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches135
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%25.9%–41.6% CI
Draw FT39.3%31.4%–47.7% CI
Away FT27.4%20.6%–35.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.1%
Away49.6%