Championship · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 12:30
13.4027.9%
X3.3528.3%
22.1643.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Rotherham
DLLLLLDWLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Cardiff
WLWLLWLWWL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
0.40
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
1.20
50%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
3.60N=10
8.10
Against
6.30
11.80
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
1.40
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Rotherham attack
0.40goals per matchCardiff conceded1.60Matchup
Cardiff attack
1.00goals per matchRotherham conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
8.10
Corners against
6.30
11.80
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.10
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
22.70
Match total
21.10
Shots
9.50N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
2.50
On target
3.20
4%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches522
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.9%27.0%-0.9 pp
Draw28.3%26.1%-2.2 pp
Away43.9%46.9%+3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS49.8%
Historical average
1.02–1.43
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.0%
1-111.7%
1-210.3%
1-010.2%
0-09.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.53–5.15
Average total9.68
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=522.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.529.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches162
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT21.6%16.0%–28.6% CI
Draw FT41.4%34.1%–49.1% CI
Away FT37.0%30.0%–44.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.8%
2+ goals32.1%
3+ goals13.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.3%
Away53.7%