Championship · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 12:30
13.3828.0%
X3.7325.4%
22.0346.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Plymouth
DWDLLLLLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Hull
LWWWWDLWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
6.10
Against
6.30
11.20
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Plymouth attack
1.00goals per matchHull conceded1.20Matchup
Hull attack
1.50goals per matchPlymouth conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
6.10
Corners against
6.30
11.20
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.10
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
25.00
Match total
23.50
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
3.30
On target
4.50
8%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches104
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.0%35.6%+7.6 pp
Draw25.4%21.2%-4.2 pp
Away46.6%43.3%-3.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS65.4%
Historical average
1.46–1.73
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.5%
1-210.6%
2-19.6%
1-07.7%
2-26.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.44–5.13
Average total9.58
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=104.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.531.7%
Over 11.526.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Draw FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Away FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Remaining goals
2.14
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals68.2%
3+ goals31.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.8%
Away72.7%