Championship · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 12:30
11.6956.1%
X4.0723.3%
24.5920.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Middlesbrough
LDDLLWDWWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Watford
WDDLWLWDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.60
Against
5.80
12.10
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

1.40goals per match
Watford conceded1.20
Matchup

Watford attack

1.10goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.80
12.10
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.80
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
21.90
Match total
24.10

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.20
On target
3.30
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches244
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.1%61.1%+5.0 pp
Draw23.3%20.5%-2.8 pp
Away20.6%18.4%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.539.8%
BTTS62.3%

Historical average

2.031.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.9%
2-010.2%
1-110.2%
3-19.4%
1-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.214.14
Average total10.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=244.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.3%
Over 9.557.0%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.533.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.0%30.7%–60.2% CI
Draw FT42.5%28.5%–57.8% CI
Away FT12.5%5.5%–26.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals22.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.5%
Away42.5%