Championship · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 12:30
11.6956.1%
X4.0723.3%
24.5920.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Middlesbrough
LDDLLWDWWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Watford
WDDLWLWDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
7.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.60
Against
5.80
12.10
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Middlesbrough attack
1.40goals per matchWatford conceded1.20Matchup
Watford attack
1.10goals per matchMiddlesbrough conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.80
12.10
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.80
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.30N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
21.90
Match total
24.10
Shots
15.50N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.20
On target
3.30
9%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches244
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.1%61.1%+5.0 pp
Draw23.3%20.5%-2.8 pp
Away20.6%18.4%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.539.8%
BTTS62.3%
Historical average
2.03–1.17
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.9%
2-010.2%
1-110.2%
3-19.4%
1-07.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.21–4.14
Average total10.35
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=244.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.3%
Over 9.557.0%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.533.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.0%30.7%–60.2% CI
Draw FT42.5%28.5%–57.8% CI
Away FT12.5%5.5%–26.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.63
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals22.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.5%
Away42.5%