Championship · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 12:30
11.5760.4%
X4.4021.5%
25.2518.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
WWWWWWWWDL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Southampton
DWWLWWLDLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.60
0.40
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
8.10N=10
2.60
Against
3.10
10.20
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.60
0.40
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
3.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.80goals per match
Southampton conceded1.80
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.60goals per match
Leeds conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.10
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
8.10N=10
2.60
Corners against
3.10
10.20
Match total
11.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.80
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
25.00
Match total
20.60

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
15.80N=10
5.50
On target
5.70
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches104
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.4%57.7%-2.7 pp
Draw21.5%18.3%-3.3 pp
Away18.1%24.0%+6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.2%
BTTS58.7%

Historical average

2.251.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-010.6%
0-18.7%
2-17.7%
1-16.7%
3-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.393.89
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=104.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.0%
Over 9.557.7%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.5%25.6%–63.2% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.6%
2+ goals52.2%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.5%
Away43.5%