Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 15:00
12.3540.4%
X3.2529.2%
23.1330.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
LDLLLDLDDD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Sunderland
DLDLLLLWDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.00
Against
4.90
10.20
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Watford attack

0.80goals per match
Sunderland conceded1.20
Matchup

Sunderland attack

0.90goals per match
Watford conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.90
10.20
Match total
9.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.40
Match total
5.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
23.00
Match total
25.70

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.10
On target
4.30
6%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,108
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.4%41.1%+0.6 pp
Draw29.2%29.9%+0.6 pp
Away30.3%29.1%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

1.381.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
1-011.1%
2-19.5%
0-19.4%
0-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.264.63
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,108.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches358
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT32.1%27.5%–37.1% CI
Draw FT38.8%33.9%–44.0% CI
Away FT29.1%24.6%–34.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals13.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.7%
Away46.9%