Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 15:00
11.7753.7%
X4.2722.3%
23.9524.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
WWWLLWDWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Stoke
DWLLLLWWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.50
90%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.30
2.10
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

7.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.30
Against
4.40
11.00
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
4.00
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

2.60goals per match
Stoke conceded1.50
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.00goals per match
Southampton conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.40
11.00
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.60
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
21.50
Match total
22.20

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
6.20
On target
3.70
15%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.7%56.3%+2.7 pp
Draw22.3%23.9%+1.7 pp
Away24.1%19.7%-4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.540.8%
BTTS64.8%

Historical average

2.041.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
2-111.3%
2-08.5%
4-07.0%
1-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.274.03
Average total10.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.563.4%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away53.3%