Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 15:00
11.7753.7%
X4.2722.3%
23.9524.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Southampton
WWWLLWDWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Stoke
DWLLLLWWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.50
90%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.30
2.10
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
7.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.30
Against
4.40
11.00
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
4.00
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Southampton attack
2.60goals per matchStoke conceded1.50Matchup
Stoke attack
1.00goals per matchSouthampton conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.40
11.00
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.60
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.20N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
21.50
Match total
22.20
Shots
16.80N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
6.20
On target
3.70
15%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.7%56.3%+2.7 pp
Draw22.3%23.9%+1.7 pp
Away24.1%19.7%-4.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.540.8%
BTTS64.8%
Historical average
2.04–1.21
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.5%
2-111.3%
2-08.5%
4-07.0%
1-07.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.27–4.03
Average total10.30
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.563.4%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.531.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.60
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away53.3%