Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 15:00
12.1444.3%
X3.4127.8%
23.3927.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
WLDLLWWDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Plymouth
LDWLWLDLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
0.70
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.40
Against
6.70
9.90
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.20
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.00goals per match
Plymouth conceded1.30
Matchup

Plymouth attack

0.90goals per match
Millwall conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.70
9.90
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.50
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
22.60
Match total
23.90

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.50
On target
4.60
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches896
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.3%43.4%-0.9 pp
Draw27.8%30.0%+2.2 pp
Away27.9%26.6%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

1.491.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.0%
1-010.4%
2-19.0%
2-07.6%
0-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.534.36
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=896.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches285
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.3%28.1%–39.0% CI
Draw FT40.0%34.5%–45.8% CI
Away FT26.7%21.9%–32.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals41.4%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.9%
Away48.1%