Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-26 · 20:00
15.3417.8%
X4.2822.3%
21.5959.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
QPR
LWDDWDLWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Leeds
LWWWWDWDLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
2.00
1.30
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.80
1.90
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.90
Against
6.40
10.80
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.00
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
2.60
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
QPR attack
1.30goals per matchLeeds conceded0.90Matchup
Leeds attack
2.00goals per matchQPR conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.40
10.80
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
0.90N=10
5.00
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
24.20
Match total
20.70
Shots
14.90N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
5.10
On target
5.40
9%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches140
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.8%10.7%-7.1 pp
Draw22.3%20.7%-1.5 pp
Away59.9%68.6%+8.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.541.4%
BTTS53.6%
Historical average
0.86–2.34
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-211.4%
0-39.3%
1-29.3%
2-27.9%
0-17.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.21–6.06
Average total10.27
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=139.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.533.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%3.5%–25.6% CI
Draw FT40.0%24.6%–57.7% CI
Away FT50.0%33.2%–66.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.37
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals43.3%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away66.7%