Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-26 · 20:00
15.3417.8%
X4.2822.3%
21.5959.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

QPR
LWDDWDLWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Leeds
LWWWWDWDLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.00
1.30
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.80
1.90
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.90
Against
6.40
10.80
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.00
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
2.60
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

QPR attack

1.30goals per match
Leeds conceded0.90
Matchup

Leeds attack

2.00goals per match
QPR conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.40
10.80
Match total
11.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
0.90N=10
5.00
Match total
2.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
24.20
Match total
20.70

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
5.10
On target
5.40
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches140
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.8%10.7%-7.1 pp
Draw22.3%20.7%-1.5 pp
Away59.9%68.6%+8.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.541.4%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

0.862.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-211.4%
0-39.3%
1-29.3%
2-27.9%
0-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.216.06
Average total10.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=139.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.533.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%3.5%–25.6% CI
Draw FT40.0%24.6%–57.7% CI
Away FT50.0%33.2%–66.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals43.3%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away66.7%