Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-23 · 20:00
12.0945.5%
X3.8324.8%
23.2029.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
WWDWWLLWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Southampton
WDWWLWWLDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.70
1.00
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
8.20N=10
3.40
Against
3.70
10.50
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.20
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

2.20goals per match
Southampton conceded1.30
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.70goals per match
Leicester conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
8.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.70
10.50
Match total
11.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
100%10/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.30
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
19.00
Match total
19.90

Shots

17.00N=10
Shots
16.40N=10
6.00
On target
6.10
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.5%30.0%-15.5 pp
Draw24.8%30.0%+5.2 pp
Away29.7%40.0%+10.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS80.0%

Historical average

1.401.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-120.0%
1-120.0%
0-110.0%
1-210.0%
1-310.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.704.00
Average total10.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away50.0%