Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-22 · 20:00
14.1522.8%
X3.8024.9%
21.8152.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Middlesbrough
WLDDLLWDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Leeds
LLWWWWDWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.70
1.00
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.20
Against
5.80
11.80
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

1.20goals per match
Leeds conceded0.80
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.70goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.80
11.80
Match total
10.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
0.90N=10
3.70
Match total
3.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
21.80
Match total
21.60

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
4.10
On target
5.10
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches149
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.8%20.8%-2.0 pp
Draw24.9%20.8%-4.1 pp
Away52.3%58.4%+6.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.535.6%
BTTS63.1%

Historical average

1.111.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.8%
1-111.4%
0-110.1%
1-38.7%
2-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.465.49
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=149.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.1%11.1%–36.3% CI
Draw FT36.8%23.4%–52.7% CI
Away FT42.1%27.9%–57.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals52.6%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.4%
Away65.8%