Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:00
12.8633.1%
X3.4527.4%
22.4039.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Watford
LLDLLLDLDD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Hull
WLLWWWWDLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.60
1.70
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.90
Against
7.10
10.60
Total
11.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Watford attack
0.90goals per matchHull conceded1.40Matchup
Hull attack
1.60goals per matchWatford conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
7.10
10.60
Match total
11.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.20
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
22.60
Match total
21.70
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.20
On target
3.90
7%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches293
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.1%29.4%-3.8 pp
Draw27.4%30.4%+2.9 pp
Away39.5%40.3%+0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.534.8%
BTTS59.7%
Historical average
1.30–1.61
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.0%
2-28.2%
1-07.8%
0-17.5%
1-26.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.82–5.22
Average total10.03
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=293.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.533.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.1%21.3%–40.7% CI
Draw FT39.8%29.9%–50.5% CI
Away FT30.1%21.3%–40.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.0%
Away54.2%