Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:00
12.2043.1%
X3.2429.2%
23.4227.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sunderland
LWLWWLLDLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Millwall
DWLLLWDLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.60
1.40
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.90
Against
6.90
10.30
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sunderland attack
1.00goals per matchMillwall conceded1.20Matchup
Millwall attack
0.60goals per matchSunderland conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.90
10.30
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.90
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
24.20
Match total
23.40
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
4.80
On target
2.40
7%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,038
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.1%42.4%-0.7 pp
Draw29.2%32.0%+2.7 pp
Away27.7%25.6%-2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS49.2%
Historical average
1.32–1.02
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.8%
1-012.1%
0-09.8%
2-09.4%
2-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.10–4.30
Average total9.41
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,037.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.533.8%
Over 11.524.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches363
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.3%28.7%–38.3% CI
Draw FT42.7%37.7%–47.8% CI
Away FT24.0%19.9%–28.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.9%
2+ goals38.8%
3+ goals11.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.3%
Away43.3%