Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:00
11.8451.6%
X3.4127.8%
24.6220.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stoke
DDLLWLWLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Plymouth
DLDWLWLDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.80
Against
6.70
11.30
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Stoke attack

0.70goals per match
Plymouth conceded1.20
Matchup

Plymouth attack

1.10goals per match
Stoke conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.70
11.30
Match total
10.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.30
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
21.20
Match total
22.80

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
4.10
On target
5.10
5%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches191
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.6%49.2%-2.4 pp
Draw27.8%27.2%-0.6 pp
Away20.6%23.6%+3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS46.6%

Historical average

1.470.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-014.1%
0-110.5%
2-010.5%
2-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.684.27
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=191.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.1%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.536.6%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.2%26.5%–51.4% CI
Draw FT32.7%21.8%–45.9% CI
Away FT29.1%18.8%–42.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.4%
2+ goals32.7%
3+ goals10.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.9%
Away41.8%