Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:00
15.5617.0%
X3.9823.8%
21.6059.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Rotherham
WDLLLLLDWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Birmingham
DLWLLLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.90
20%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
3.00N=10
For
3.60N=10
8.60
Against
6.80
11.60
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.90
1.50
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Rotherham attack
0.50goals per matchBirmingham conceded1.90Matchup
Birmingham attack
0.90goals per matchRotherham conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.00N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
8.60
Corners against
6.80
11.60
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.50
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
22.00
Match total
21.80
Shots
8.70N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
2.20
On target
3.80
6%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.0%11.3%-5.7 pp
Draw23.8%22.6%-1.1 pp
Away59.2%66.0%+6.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS50.9%
Historical average
0.79–1.70
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-218.9%
0-117.0%
0-211.3%
1-19.4%
2-27.5%
Comparable corner averages
3.34–5.75
Average total9.09
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.5%
Over 9.541.5%
Over 10.524.5%
Over 11.518.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.0%5.2%–36.0% CI
Draw FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Away FT60.0%38.7%–78.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.35
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home35.0%
Away70.0%