Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:00
17.3113.0%
X4.7819.8%
21.4167.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cardiff
DLLLDWWWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Southampton
DWDWWLWWLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.70
1.60
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
8.60N=10
3.30
Against
3.60
7.70
Total
12.20
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cardiff attack

0.80goals per match
Southampton conceded1.20
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.70goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.00
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
8.60N=10
3.30
Corners against
3.60
7.70
Match total
12.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
100%10/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.10
Match total
3.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
18.40
Match total
20.00

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
15.50N=10
3.90
On target
5.60
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches137
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.0%8.8%-4.2 pp
Draw19.8%16.8%-3.0 pp
Away67.2%74.5%+7.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.568.6%
Over 3.538.0%
BTTS60.6%

Historical average

0.932.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-220.4%
0-19.5%
0-28.8%
1-17.3%
0-36.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.546.97
Average total10.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=137.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.556.2%
Over 10.547.4%
Over 11.538.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.3%3.6%–26.4% CI
Draw FT27.6%14.7%–45.7% CI
Away FT62.1%44.0%–77.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.97

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.2%
2+ goals65.5%
3+ goals37.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.3%
Away75.9%