Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:00
17.3113.0%
X4.7819.8%
21.4167.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cardiff
DLLLDWWWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Southampton
DWDWWLWWLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.70
1.60
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
8.60N=10
3.30
Against
3.60
7.70
Total
12.20
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cardiff attack
0.80goals per matchSouthampton conceded1.20Matchup
Southampton attack
1.70goals per matchCardiff conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.00
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
8.60N=10
3.30
Corners against
3.60
7.70
Match total
12.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.10
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.70N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
18.40
Match total
20.00
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
15.50N=10
3.90
On target
5.60
7%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches137
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.0%8.8%-4.2 pp
Draw19.8%16.8%-3.0 pp
Away67.2%74.5%+7.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.568.6%
Over 3.538.0%
BTTS60.6%
Historical average
0.93–2.32
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-220.4%
0-19.5%
0-28.8%
1-17.3%
0-36.6%
Comparable corner averages
3.54–6.97
Average total10.51
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=137.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.556.2%
Over 10.547.4%
Over 11.538.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.3%3.6%–26.4% CI
Draw FT27.6%14.7%–45.7% CI
Away FT62.1%44.0%–77.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.97
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.2%
2+ goals65.5%
3+ goals37.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.3%
Away75.9%