Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-16 · 20:00
11.3570.3%
X5.1818.3%
28.3511.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Southampton
WWWWLLWDWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Preston
WLLLDWWWLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
2.80
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
0.90
90%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.40
2.50
2H goals
0.70
90%
Goal in 2H
40%
Corners
7.50N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.40
Against
4.80
10.90
Total
8.20
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
4.20
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Southampton attack
2.80goals per matchPreston conceded0.90Matchup
Preston attack
1.20goals per matchSouthampton conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.80
10.90
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.00
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.00N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
22.40
Match total
22.50
Shots
15.60N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
6.50
On target
2.80
18%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches203
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.3%72.9%+2.6 pp
Draw18.3%17.7%-0.6 pp
Away11.4%9.4%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.537.9%
BTTS50.2%
Historical average
2.37–0.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-012.3%
2-011.3%
1-010.3%
2-110.3%
1-16.4%
Comparable corner averages
7.34–3.33
Average total10.67
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=203.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.5%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.549.8%
Over 11.538.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%42.3%–69.3% CI
Draw FT35.4%23.4%–49.6% CI
Away FT8.3%3.3%–19.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.44
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.8%
Away25.0%