Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 15:00
11.4266.9%
X4.9719.1%
26.8213.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
WWWWWLLWDW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Watford
DWDDLWLWDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.20
90%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
2.60
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

8.40N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.20
Against
6.10
11.60
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
4.10
Total goals
2.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

2.90goals per match
Watford conceded1.20
Matchup

Watford attack

1.20goals per match
Southampton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
2.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.40N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.20
Corners against
6.10
11.60
Match total
10.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.10
Match total
4.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
22.30
Match total
24.30

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
7.20
On target
3.20
18%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches164
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.9%67.7%+0.7 pp
Draw19.1%23.8%+4.7 pp
Away13.9%8.5%-5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.544.5%
BTTS55.5%

Historical average

2.410.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.6%
2-09.1%
1-07.9%
2-27.9%
3-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.213.51
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=164.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.1%30.7%–66.0% CI
Draw FT40.7%24.5%–59.3% CI
Away FT11.1%3.9%–28.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.6%
Away25.9%