Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 15:00
11.8651.0%
X3.3528.3%
24.6020.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
WWLDLLWWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Cardiff
WWLWLLWLWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
0.70
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.60
Against
6.70
9.90
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

0.90goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.40
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.10goals per match
Millwall conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.70
9.90
Match total
10.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.70
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
23.30
Match total
21.60

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.10
On target
3.10
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches260
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.0%50.8%-0.3 pp
Draw28.3%29.2%+0.9 pp
Away20.6%20.0%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.516.5%
BTTS38.5%

Historical average

1.340.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.1%
1-113.5%
2-013.1%
0-010.4%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.203.64
Average total8.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=259.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.1%
Over 9.539.0%
Over 10.527.8%
Over 11.517.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches94
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.6%33.0%–52.6% CI
Draw FT38.3%29.1%–48.4% CI
Away FT19.1%12.5%–28.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals33.0%
3+ goals11.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.3%
Away35.1%