Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-10 · 20:00
12.4339.1%
X3.2329.4%
23.0231.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swansea
LWWLLLLWWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Stoke
DWDWLLLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.60
1.00
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
40%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.50
Against
5.00
10.40
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.00goals per match
Stoke conceded1.30
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.30goals per match
Swansea conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
40%4/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.00
10.40
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.40
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
21.40
Match total
20.70

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
3.80
On target
4.00
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches608
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.1%40.6%+1.5 pp
Draw29.4%30.3%+0.8 pp
Away31.5%29.1%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS52.6%

Historical average

1.411.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
0-110.2%
1-010.2%
2-19.4%
0-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.364.74
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=608.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches202
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.2%21.6%–33.7% CI
Draw FT41.6%35.0%–48.5% CI
Away FT31.2%25.2%–37.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.7%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals10.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away51.0%