Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-10 · 19:45
11.4664.9%
X4.6120.6%
26.5114.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ipswich
DDDWDWWWWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Watford
WDWDDLWLWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.30
2.20
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.50
Against
6.50
10.20
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
4.00
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ipswich attack

2.60goals per match
Watford conceded1.30
Matchup

Watford attack

1.40goals per match
Ipswich conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.50
10.20
Match total
11.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.00
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
21.90
Match total
23.40

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
6.40
On target
3.50
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches178
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.9%69.1%+4.2 pp
Draw20.6%21.3%+0.8 pp
Away14.6%9.6%-5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.539.9%
BTTS52.8%

Historical average

2.350.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.5%
3-19.6%
2-09.0%
0-07.9%
1-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.763.37
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=178.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.1%37.2%–64.7% CI
Draw FT40.4%27.6%–54.7% CI
Away FT8.5%3.4%–19.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.2%
2+ goals48.9%
3+ goals23.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.7%
Away36.2%