Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-10 · 19:45
11.9049.9%
X3.5426.8%
24.0523.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Birmingham
LLDDWWLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Cardiff
LWWLWLLWLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.10
Against
7.10
9.20
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
2.70
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.20goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.70
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.00goals per match
Birmingham conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.10
Corners against
7.10
9.20
Match total
10.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.80
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.90
Match total
21.70

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.80
On target
2.80
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches701
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.9%50.8%+0.9 pp
Draw26.8%26.4%-0.4 pp
Away23.4%22.8%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.520.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.3%
2-111.6%
1-110.8%
2-09.7%
0-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.744.03
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=701.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches234
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.0%32.1%–44.4% CI
Draw FT37.2%31.2%–43.5% CI
Away FT24.8%19.7%–30.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.6%
2+ goals35.9%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.1%
Away41.0%