Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-10 · 19:45
11.9049.9%
X3.5426.8%
24.0523.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Birmingham
LLDDWWLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Cardiff
LWWLWLLWLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.10
Against
7.10
9.20
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Birmingham attack
1.20goals per matchCardiff conceded1.70Matchup
Cardiff attack
1.00goals per matchBirmingham conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.10
Corners against
7.10
9.20
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.80
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.90
Match total
21.70
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.80
On target
2.80
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches701
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.9%50.8%+0.9 pp
Draw26.8%26.4%-0.4 pp
Away23.4%22.8%-0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS50.8%
Historical average
1.52–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.3%
2-111.6%
1-110.8%
2-09.7%
0-09.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.74–4.03
Average total9.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=701.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.527.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches234
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.0%32.1%–44.4% CI
Draw FT37.2%31.2%–43.5% CI
Away FT24.8%19.7%–30.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.6%
2+ goals35.9%
3+ goals14.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.1%
Away41.0%