Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-09 · 19:45
11.7853.3%
X4.2022.6%
23.9224.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
WWWWWWLLWD
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Coventry
DWWWLDWLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.90
1.10
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
2.50
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

8.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
2.70
Against
6.20
11.20
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
4.00
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

2.90goals per match
Coventry conceded1.10
Matchup

Coventry attack

1.90goals per match
Southampton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
2.00
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
2.70
Corners against
6.20
11.20
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.00
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
20.80
Match total
23.80

Shots

17.00N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
7.20
On target
5.00
17%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.3%80.0%+26.7 pp
Draw22.6%6.7%-15.9 pp
Away24.2%13.3%-10.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.593.3%
Over 3.546.7%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

2.801.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-120.0%
3-020.0%
3-113.3%
5-06.7%
1-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.534.87
Average total10.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Draw FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Away FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.1%
Away47.1%