Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-09 · 19:45
13.0830.8%
X3.2828.9%
22.3540.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Plymouth
WDDWDLLLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
QPR
WLLDWLWWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.90
2.00
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.50
2.00
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.20
Against
5.70
11.10
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
2.00
Goals conceded
0.70
3.40
Total goals
1.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Plymouth attack

1.40goals per match
QPR conceded0.70
Matchup

QPR attack

0.90goals per match
Plymouth conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.70
11.10
Match total
10.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.40
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
24.70
Match total
20.60

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
4.20
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches654
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.8%28.6%-2.2 pp
Draw28.9%24.0%-4.9 pp
Away40.3%47.4%+7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.051.43

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.2%
0-112.2%
1-210.6%
1-010.4%
0-28.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.795.27
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=654.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches213
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.5%25.6%–38.0% CI
Draw FT32.9%26.9%–39.4% CI
Away FT35.7%29.6%–42.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.0%
2+ goals39.9%
3+ goals14.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.9%
Away51.6%