Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-09 · 19:45
15.1518.4%
X3.7325.4%
21.6956.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Millwall
DWWLDLLWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Leicester
WDWLWWLWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.80
1.20
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
0.80
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.30
Against
5.10
9.30
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Millwall attack
0.90goals per matchLeicester conceded1.30Matchup
Leicester attack
1.80goals per matchMillwall conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.10
9.30
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.50
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
24.00
Match total
24.90
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.40
On target
4.30
8%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches161
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.4%16.8%-1.7 pp
Draw25.4%22.4%-3.1 pp
Away56.1%60.9%+4.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS47.2%
Historical average
0.78–1.71
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-117.4%
1-114.3%
0-210.6%
1-38.7%
0-38.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.61–5.97
Average total9.58
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=161.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.546.0%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.524.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.5%16.2%–40.3% CI
Draw FT26.5%16.2%–40.3% CI
Away FT46.9%33.7%–60.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals34.7%
3+ goals12.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.8%
Away65.3%