Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-09 · 19:45
15.1518.4%
X3.7325.4%
21.6956.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
DWWLDLLWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Leicester
WDWLWWLWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.80
1.20
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
0.80
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.30
Against
5.10
9.30
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

0.90goals per match
Leicester conceded1.30
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.80goals per match
Millwall conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
80%8/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.10
9.30
Match total
8.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.50
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
24.00
Match total
24.90

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.40
On target
4.30
8%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches161
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.4%16.8%-1.7 pp
Draw25.4%22.4%-3.1 pp
Away56.1%60.9%+4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS47.2%

Historical average

0.781.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.4%
1-114.3%
0-210.6%
1-38.7%
0-38.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.615.97
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=161.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.546.0%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.524.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.5%16.2%–40.3% CI
Draw FT26.5%16.2%–40.3% CI
Away FT46.9%33.7%–60.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals34.7%
3+ goals12.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.8%
Away65.3%